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Changelog

What is new on Capwise.

We ship in the open. This is an honest record of what changed, what improved, and what we fixed. No marketing spin.

Compass algorithm upgrade — exhaustive simulation and portfolio generation

  • NewCompass now runs a 2,000-trial Monte Carlo simulation on every portfolio, projecting growth of your capital over 1 month, 3 months, 6 months, and 1 year with bear, base, and bull scenarios.
  • NewGrowth of $X chart with three scenario lines and a compound returns table showing projected dollar values at each checkpoint.
  • NewPortfolio confidence score (0-100, letter grade) combining diversification, signal strength, track record, band tightness, and market regime.
  • NewBenchmark comparison against S&P 500 (SPY) so you can see how your basket stacks up against the market.
  • NewRisk level visual bar, allocation breakdown by cluster, correlation warnings for overlapping positions, and cluster concentration notices.
  • NewPlain-English glossary explaining every term used in the report — expected return, bands, CVaR, Monte Carlo, diversification ratio, and more.
  • ImprovedTarget return input no longer distorts the optimizer. The algorithm now maximizes pure risk-adjusted return based on what the market actually offers, and surfaces the gap between your target and market reality.
  • ImprovedIntel cards redesigned into grouped sections: headline confidence and risk, projected outcomes, market context, and guidance.
  • ImprovedAllocation bars now show the percentage inside the bar fill for at-a-glance reading.

Ticker page redesign and calmer dashboards

  • ImprovedTicker detail page reworked with horizon-scoped track records, a visible model version, and a clearer information hierarchy from call to chart to news.
  • ImprovedSignalCard simplified — the confusing band visualization is replaced by a clean q10 to q90 range readout.
  • FixedPredicted-vs-actual chart now uses horizon-aligned past windows instead of a flat 90-day lookback, so 24h and 1m calls are judged on the right scale.
  • FixedRemoved all italic typography across the app for a calmer, more consistent reading experience.

Per-market ingest isolation and a data-integrity fix

  • NewUS, TSX, and crypto EOD ingests now run on independent schedules tuned to each market close, with isolated logs and retries.
  • FixedResolved the Canadian CDR price-corruption incident where US mega-caps were briefly pulling TSX listing prices.
  • ImprovedPrediction freshness gates now prevent stale tickers from generating outdated calls.

Compass portfolio builder and developer interest page

  • NewCompass — answer a few questions and get a plain-English portfolio basket with allocations, rationales, and a shareable link.
  • NewDevelopers page to capture API and SDK interest ahead of a partner program.

Six horizons and plain-English explanations

  • NewSix prediction horizons — 24h, 48h, 72h, 1w, 2w, 1m — each with an adjusted-close band.
  • NewEvery prediction now ships with a two-sentence explanation of the call, written in plain English by Gemini.

Open beta

  • NewCapwise open beta launched. Daily signal feed, watchlists, and sign-in via Google and email magic links.
  • NewFour-signal taxonomy — BUY, HOLD, TAKE, SKIP — one clear answer per asset.

First champion model

  • NewFirst champion model trained — a quantile XGBoost ensemble across six asset clusters.
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